Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.001453 0.001548 0.001646 0.001754 0.001872 0.001994 0.002133
2024-10-06 0.001315 0.001444 0.001582 0.001741 0.001919 0.002113 0.002342
2024-10-13 0.001221 0.001374 0.001541 0.001740 0.001971 0.002230 0.002545
2024-10-20 0.001126 0.001292 0.001478 0.001705 0.001974 0.002286 0.002675
2024-10-27 0.001064 0.001242 0.001446 0.001700 0.002008 0.002373 0.002842
2024-11-03 0.000984 0.001164 0.001375 0.001643 0.001974 0.002374 0.002900
2024-11-10 0.000950 0.001140 0.001366 0.001658 0.002026 0.002480 0.003091
2024-11-17 0.000906 0.001100 0.001335 0.001642 0.002037 0.002534 0.003215
2024-11-24 0.000880 0.001082 0.001329 0.001657 0.002086 0.002636 0.003405
2024-12-01 0.000837 0.001039 0.001290 0.001628 0.002076 0.002660 0.003489
2024-12-08 0.000804 0.001008 0.001264 0.001613 0.002083 0.002703 0.003602
2024-12-15 0.000774 0.000980 0.001240 0.001600 0.002090 0.002748 0.003717
2024-12-22 0.000749 0.000958 0.001226 0.001603 0.002125 0.002838 0.003908
2024-12-29 0.000719 0.000929 0.001202 0.001590 0.002137 0.002896 0.004058
2025-01-05 0.000696 0.000908 0.001188 0.001590 0.002166 0.002979 0.004248
2025-01-12 0.000663 0.000872 0.001152 0.001558 0.002148 0.002993 0.004334
2025-01-19 0.000642 0.000852 0.001136 0.001554 0.002168 0.003062 0.004507
2025-01-26 0.000606 0.000811 0.001089 0.001502 0.002117 0.003023 0.004508
2025-02-02 0.000594 0.000802 0.001087 0.001516 0.002163 0.003131 0.004748
2025-02-09 0.000574 0.000781 0.001067 0.001502 0.002166 0.003173 0.004883
2025-02-16 0.000564 0.000773 0.001065 0.001515 0.002211 0.003282 0.005132
2025-02-23 0.000542 0.000748 0.001038 0.001489 0.002194 0.003291 0.005214
2025-03-02 0.000525 0.000730 0.001020 0.001475 0.002195 0.003330 0.005347